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Climate policy’s missing leg

by Berend | Jun 25, 2026

Bergen bij zonsondergang als horizon
Nieuwsbrief

Climate policy’s missing leg

Every boardroom climate agenda is built around the energy transition. Solar, heat pumps, Scope 1 through 3, the curve that has to come down. That work is necessary, and it covers half the problem. The other half has been sitting in the background since the 1970s, largely because we chose the leg that was easier to model.

The first international climate negotiations, early in that decade, put two things on the table: fossil fuel emissions and the degradation of land and living systems. We built the whole policy architecture around the first one. Carbon connected cleanly to technology and markets, and the living system did not lend itself to the same modelling. The second leg never got the same budget.

Dry cracked earth from drought

That second leg is larger than policy suggests. Research by Sanderman and colleagues in 2017 estimated that roughly a third of excess atmospheric carbon comes from soil degradation, not fossil combustion. Strip the living cover, expose ground to sun and wind, and stored carbon releases. Add the disruption to the water cycle on top of that. Water is the most significant greenhouse gas and simultaneously the planet's natural heat pump. Evaporation absorbs energy, carries it upward, and a large portion radiates out to space. Degrade the land and you switch that pump off. Brett KenCairn, climate and resilience adviser for the city of Boulder, put it plainly in a recent podcast conversation: we work hard to get people a heat pump, while the other heat pump, the living one, has been allowed to stall.

This changes the position of adaptation in any serious climate conversation. Adaptation is the part of the problem where you have local influence right now. You do not stabilise the whole planet at once. You stabilise the area where you live and work. And the evidence suggests this works at surprisingly small scale. In a county in northern Oklahoma, where regenerative land management practices have returned sixty to seventy percent of the ground to permanent cover, farmers are recording fifteen to twenty percent more rainfall. The threshold for shifting local climate is around thirteen square kilometres of changed land cover. Local cover shifts local climate. That is not a metaphor. It is a measurement.

Before going further, it is worth separating two words that sit close together, because the difference determines what you design toward in practice.

Adaptation is adjusting to conditions you are no longer changing. You build enough resilience to keep functioning while the climate and the system around you shift. It keeps you in the game under harder conditions. Regeneration goes a step further. It rebuilds the system's capacity to renew itself, so that over time it produces more life and more options rather than slowly losing them. Adaptation helps you work with the change. Regeneration changes the direction of the system itself. Both release the idea of restoring a lost past, because the baseline keeps moving and that past is not coming back.

A dense layered view through a forest

Most greening plans stop well short of either. Green is treated as a surface-level exchange. A paving stone out, a plant in. A car park out, a grass strip in. That often does not reach the level of adaptation. It is cosmetic. Regeneration means building capacity: more photosynthesis, more carbon in the soil, more habitat, more layers in the system working together. Boulder ran the numbers on its own parks. Average canopy cover was under fifteen percent. Bring that up to thirty-five to forty percent across half a park, add shrub, herb and grass layers that work together, and photosynthetic uptake rises by seventy to eighty percent. Water demand drops by millions of litres per year simultaneously. Research from the Amsterdam University of Applied Sciences captures the adaptation gain in one sentence: ten percent more green delivers half a degree less heat. That half degree does not live in the plant. It lives in the volume.

The volume argument forces you to see space in three dimensions. From the root zone below the pavement to the canopy layer above, with the facade and the roof in between. A grass strip cools a metre. A mature tree with a dense crown cools a plaza. A designed micro-ecosystem does something a strip never does. The Tiny Forest method, developed by Akira Miyawaki, grows a self-sustaining forest on two hundred to five hundred square metres within three to five years. There are now over two hundred of them next to schools across the Netherlands. In Eindhoven, a fully paved site on Muzenlaan is being replaced with over sixteen hundred square metres of green roofs, facade greening, nesting boxes and bat provisions. The logic scales up as well. A forest is not primarily carbon storage or timber stock. It is a water system. Manage it to keep the soil moist and hold snow longer, and you regulate the rainfall your downstream communities depend on.

And then there is the piece that most plans skip entirely. The bottleneck is rarely the design. It is ownership. When Boulder mapped an area of over a thousand square kilometres, the sharpest finding was that nobody watches the whole living system. No single authority holds responsibility for it as an integrated thing. Adaptation breaks down at the question of who maintains it and who pays. Boulder's answer is a Community Land Stewards programme: residents who are trained and paid, not volunteering, to care for green in shared spaces, starting with schools.

That touches something that belongs in every adaptation plan and almost never appears. Green works when people experience it as theirs. Research from Leiden University and Stanford shows that fifteen minutes of nature improves measurable mental health outcomes, most strongly in dense urban settings. Researcher Jolanda Maas found that green in the densest neighbourhoods produces smaller health gains than in less crowded areas. That is an argument for green that is designed, carried by the community and maintained, not an argument against green itself.

The shift that matters is one of perspective and of governance. From wanting to restore what has been lost, to moving with what is changing, to returning to the system itself the capacity to flourish. From a surface-level exchange to built capacity in three dimensions. From a project that gets delivered to a system that gets maintained.

The energy transition deserves the attention it receives. The other leg deserves it too. And once you learn to look at a piece of land this way, you never look at a car park the same way again.

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